Michael Novakhov – SharedNewsLinks℠ – In 50 Brief Posts
Michael Novakhov - SharedNewsLinks ![]() | ||
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What We Do and Don't Know About Trump's Ear Wound | ||
Wed, 07 May 2025 10:15:05 -0400
Trump’s ear wound from an assassination attempt at a rally on July 13 quickly became a symbol of solidarity for many of his supporters, and a grim reminder of political violence in the U.S. Trump’s team has largely remained tight-lipped about the ear wound, refraining from publicly sharing the former President’s medical records or conducting a press briefing at the Pennsylvania hospital where he was treated. The Trump campaign did not respond to a request for comment. But comments by FBI Director Christopher Wray on July 24 indicated there might be more the American public did not know about the injury. Wray suggested in congressional testimony that the wound may have been caused by shrapnel, while Trump and his former White House physician had said it was caused by a bullet. Amid the ongoing public discourse, on July 26, the FBI released a statement directly addressing what struck Trump during the assassination attempt. Here’s what we know about Trump’s ear wound. FBI releases a statementOn Friday, July 26, the FBI released a statement addressing Trump's ear injury. “What struck former President Trump in the ear was a bullet, whether whole or fragmented into smaller pieces, fired from the deceased subject’s rifle,” the agency said, per the Washington Post. Trump issued a response via his own social media platform, Truth Social. Alongside a re-post of the statement, he wrote: "I assume that’s the best apology that we'll get from Director Wray, but it is fully accepted!" Wray said it might be from shrapnelDuring a House Judiciary Committee on Wednesday, July 24, Wray provided new details about the investigation into the assassination attempt and revealed that the agency is not certain the wound was caused by a bullet. “There’s some question about whether or not it’s a bullet or shrapnel that hit his ear,” he said. Read More: America’s Political Violence Crisis Trump has not released his medical recordsIn the immediate aftermath of the shooting in Butler, Pa., Trump was treated at Butler Memorial Hospital, but his team did not share details of his wound or care. Doctors at the hospital were not made available for a press conference or questions, and Trump has not released his medical records from the treatment. Former White House physician said it was caused by a bulletOn July 20, a week after the shooting, Trump shared a signed letter from former White House physician Ronny Jackson, now a Republican congressman from Texas, who released new details about the injury and claimed that the wound was caused by a gunshot wound. In the letter, Jackson said Trump had a 2 cm-wide gunshot wound in the right ear from a high-powered rifle. “There was initially significant bleeding, followed by marked swelling of the entire upper ear,” Jackson wrote. “The swelling has since resolved, and the wound is beginning to granulate and heal properly. Based on the highly vascular nature of the ear, there is still intermittent bleeding requiring a dressing to be in place. Given the broad and blunt nature of the wound itself, no sutures were required.” He said that Trump received a thorough evaluation—including a CT scan— at Butler Memorial Hospital, and will undergo further evaluations, including a hearing test. Jackson slammed Wray on X after Wray’s testimony, saying it was “absolutely irresponsible” for Wray to suggest the injury may have been caused by shrapnel. “IT WAS A BULLET — I’VE SEEN THE WOUND!” Jackson wrote. “PATHETIC!!! Jackson is a Trump ally and has come under fire in recent years after a Pentagon inspector general’s report revealed allegations that Jackson had engaged in “inappropriate conduct” as White House physician. Trump’s descriptions of the shootingTrump has made some comments about his experience. On the evening of Thursday, July 25, he pushed back against Wray’s comments, asserting that it was in fact a bullet that hit him. “FBI Director Christopher Wray told Congress yesterday that he wasn’t sure if I was hit by shrapnel, glass, or a bullet (the FBI never even checked!), but he was sure that Crooked Joe Biden was physically and cognitively “uneventful” - Wrong!” he wrote in a post on Truth Social. “No, it was, unfortunately, a bullet that hit my ear, and hit it hard. There was no glass, there was no shrapnel. The hospital called it a “bullet wound to the ear,” and that is what it was.” In a speech at the Republican convention on July 18, Trump, the Republican nominee, said that a bullet “came within a quarter of an inch of taking my life." ‘I’m Not Supposed to Be Here.’ Trump Gives First Detailed Account of Shooting in RNC Speech 0 seconds of 6 minutes, 13 secondsVolume 0% “I said to myself, wow, what was that, it can only be a bullet, and moved my right hand to my ear, brought it down,” he said. “The amazing thing is that prior to the shot, if I had not moved my head at that very last instant, the assassin’s bullet would have perfectly hit its mark and I would not be here tonight.” In a social media post after the rally on July 13, Trump wrote, “I was shot with a bullet that pierced the upper part of my right ear. I knew immediately that something was wrong in that I heard a whizzing sound, shots, and immediately felt the bullet ripping through the skin. Much bleeding took place, so I realized then what was happening.” In a private phone call with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. that was posted online, Trump said that in the moment, the object whizzing past him at the rally felt like “the world’s largest mosquito.” Eric Trump, the former President’s son, told CBS News that his father has referred to the injury as "the greatest earache he's ever had," but that he did not require stitches and that his hearing is fine. | ||
Chronos High Speed Cameras for Ballistics Analysis | ||
Tue, 06 May 2025 21:46:26 -0400
Skip to content Articles, Ballistics / Defence | April 23, 2023 Breaking Down Bullets: Using high speed Cameras for In-Depth Ballistics AnalysisThe field of ballistics, the science of the travel of a projectile in flight, is an ideal application for high-speed cameras. What forces are at play, and how do they impact the trajectory of a projectile such as a bullet or a missile? Ballistics analysis has long been used to answer these questions, with high-speed camera technology, we can now gain an even deeper understanding of the inner workings of projectile launch. In this blog post, we’ll look into how high-speed cameras are being used to capture and track extremely high-speed events in the field of ballistics. Introduction to high-speed Cameras for Ballistics AnalysisWhen it comes to understanding the behavior of bullets, high-speed cameras are an invaluable tool. By capturing images at extremely high frame rates, these cameras can provide researchers with a level of detail that was previously unattainable. This has allowed for a greater understanding of the forces at play when a bullet is fired, and how different factors can impact its trajectory. One of the most important applications of high-speed cameras in ballistics analysis is the study of muzzle blast. By observing the gases that are expelled from the barrel of a gun during firing, researchers can gain insight into the firearm’s performance including misfires. This information can then be used to improve the design of firearms and ammunition. Another area where high-speed cameras have made a significant impact is in the study of impact ballistics. By analyzing high-resolution images of projectiles impacting materials, researchers have been able to gain a better understanding of how different types of projectiles vary in their impact. This information is critical for developing more effective, precise projectiles. High-speed cameras have also been used to study the effects of weather on bullet trajectories. By analyzing how wind speed and direction affects the path of a bullet, researchers can develop more accurate models for predicting bullet drop. This information is critical for military and law enforcement personnel who need to account for weather conditions when taking aim at a target. Finally, high-speed cameras have also been used to study ricochet behavior. By understanding how different materials interact with bullets, engineers can design surfaces that are more or less resistant to projectile impact and ricochet. What is Ballistics Analysis? Ballistics analysis is the study of the trajectory, behavior, and characteristics of projectiles. In forensics, ballistic analysis can be used to determine the type of weapon used in a crime, as well as the trajectory of the bullet. This information can be used to identify the shooter, as well as any potential witnesses. High-speed cameras are often used in ballistic analysis. These cameras can capture high-resolution images of a projectile in flight. This allows for a detailed analysis of the projectile’s trajectory and behavior. Ballistic analysis can be used to reconstruct a crime scene. It can also be used to determine the range at which a shot was fired. This information can be vital in solving crimes. High-speed Cameras and Their Uses in Ballistic Analysis There are many different types of high-speed cameras available on the market today, each with their own unique set of features and benefits. When it comes to ballistic analysis frame rate is critical to capturing the high speed event. The Chronos 1.4 high-speed camera allows for frame rates up to 40,413fps (frames per second). This provides ample detailed projectile movement. Benefits of Using high-speed Cameras for Ballistics Analysis There are many benefits to using high-speed cameras for ballistics analysis. The most obvious is that high-speed cameras can capture extremely fast events, such as a bullet in flight. This allows for a very detailed analysis of the event, which can be used to improve the design of the bullet or gun. Another benefit is that it can be used to study the effects of different types of bullets on different materials. For example, a high-speed camera can be used to capture the effects of a high-velocity rifle bullet on a variety of targets, such as wood and metal. This information can be used to develop new and improved bullets that are more effective at penetrating different types of materials. Finally, high-speed cameras can also be used to study the behavior of ricocheting bullets. Ricocheting bullets are often responsible for collateral damage during military conflicts and understanding their behavior is important for minimizing this damage. high-speed cameras can capture the trajectory of ricocheting bullets and this information can be used to develop strategies for avoiding these bullets. How high-speed Cameras are Used in Firearms and Projectile Launch Analysis High-speed cameras are used extensively in firearms and projectile launch analysis. By analyzing the high-speed footage of a firearm or projectile in action, experts can glean important information about the performance of the weapon or object. This data can be used to improve the design of firearms and projectiles, as well as to troubleshoot issues with existing designs. For example, by studying the high-speed footage of a gun firing, experts can determine things like muzzle velocity, bullet stability, and recoil. This information is then used to improve the design of future firearms. Additionally, this data can be used to help solve problems with existing designs. For example, if a particular gun is experiencing excessive recoil, the high-speed footage can be analyzed to determine what is causing the issue which the quality assurance team can then improve upon. Conclusion High-speed cameras provide an incredibly accurate level of ballistics analysis for a range of applications. By breaking down bullets into individual frames, these cameras can analyze the bullet’s trajectory and performance in forensic investigations, firearm safety tests, and military combat simulations. With this technology, professionals can gain insight into how different types of ammunition perform in various scenarios and make better-informed decisions about firearms usage. Ultimately, high-speed cameras are an invaluable tool for modern ballistics analysis. ShareApplicationsNever miss an update, subscribe to our newsletter!Stay up-to-date on the latest Chronos Camera tips, upgrades and news ResourcesNotifications NewsletterSign up to receive the latest news, announcements, and promotions! | ||
AI Review: The many faces of Ilham Aliyev: personality assessment: He "does a masterful political Jekyll and Hyde ... He is also hugely corrupt, and his authoritarian regime has one of the world’s worst records on human rights ... The West must understand | ||
Mon, 05 May 2025 10:32:02 -0400
AI Review: Ilham Aliyev: personality assessment - g.co/gemini/share/c - Ilham Aliyev's Leadership Assessment Summary Assessing Ilham Aliyev's personality involves considering various perspectives, as his leadership has drawn both praise and criticism. Here's a summary of key points gathered from the search results: Strong Leadership and Determination:He's often characterized as a strong and decisive leader, particularly in matters of national interest, as seen in the resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.1 His ability to achieve strategic goals through long-term planning is highlighted.2 There are many that point to his strong abilities in geopolitical strategy.3 Political Acumen and Strategic Thinking:He's recognized for his political astuteness and ability to navigate complex international relations.4 His educational background at the Moscow State Institute of International Relations is often cited as a factor contributing to his understanding of global politics.5 Authoritarian Tendencies and Criticisms:Critics point to his consolidation of power and what they perceive as an authoritarian style of governance.6 Concerns about human rights violations, suppression of opposition, and limitations on press freedom are frequently raised.7 There are also many accusations of corruption levied against him, and his families holdings.8 Nationalism and Public Image:He has effectively utilized nationalism to garner public support, particularly following Azerbaijan's victory in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict.9 Efforts to cultivate a strong public image are evident in his public appearances and statements. Inherited Political Legacy:It is important to understand that his political carreer began with the help of his father, Heydar Aliyev. It's important to note that perspectives on his personality and leadership vary, and these points represent a synthesis of information from diverse sources. - Ilham Aliyev: personality assessment - Bing: bing.com/search?q=Ilham Ilham Aliyev is most commonly typed as 1w9 (The Reformer, or The Perfectionist) in the Enneagram system. This suggests Aliyev is principled, ethical, responsible, and self-controlled, and strives for integrity and high standards, often becoming perfectionistic and critical. 1. As an INTJ, Aliyev's personality type influences his approach to leadership by emphasizing strategic planning, logical decision-making, and independent thinking2.Learn more:1Ilham Aliyev Personality Type | Government Official MBTI | ||
Mon, 05 May 2025 05:22:22 -0400
How to measure the efficiency of the Intelligence Agencies? Gemini Measuring the efficiency of intelligence agencies is a complex endeavor, fraught with unique challenges not typically encountered when evaluating other government organizations or private sector entities. Due to the clandestine nature of their work, the sensitivity of their information, and the long-term and often indirect impact of their efforts, traditional metrics of efficiency, such as cost-benefit analyses or direct output measurements, often fall short. However, a more nuanced approach can be taken by considering a range of factors and indicators, both qualitative and quantitative: 1. Outcome-Based Measures (Effectiveness leading to Efficiency):
2. Process-Oriented Measures (How efficiently are tasks performed?):
3. Trust and Perception-Based Measures:
Challenges in Measuring Efficiency:
Moving Forward: Measuring intelligence agency efficiency requires a multi-faceted approach that combines quantitative data where possible with qualitative assessments and expert judgment. Emphasis should be placed on:
In conclusion, while a simple "efficiency score" for an intelligence agency is unrealistic, a comprehensive and thoughtful evaluation framework that considers outcomes, processes, and perceptions, while acknowledging the inherent challenges, can provide valuable insights into how effectively these vital organizations are operating and where improvements can be made. | ||
Putin Says He Hopes There Will Be No Need to Use Nuclear Weapons in Ukraine | ||
Sun, 04 May 2025 15:15:34 -0400
(AP) – Russian President Vladimir Putin has said that the need to use nuclear weapons in Ukraine had not arisen and that he hopes it will not. In a preview of an upcoming interview with Russian state television, published on Telegram on Sunday, Putin said Russia has the strength and the means to bring the conflict in Ukraine to a “logical conclusion.” Responding to a question about Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory, Putin said: “There has been no need to use those (nuclear) weapons … and I hope they will not be required.” “We have enough strength and means to bring what was started in 2022 to a logical conclusion with the outcome Russia requires,” he said. Putin signed a revamped version of Russia’s nuclear doctrine in November 2024, spelling out the circumstances that allow him to use Moscow’s atomic arsenal, the world’s largest. That version lowered the bar, giving him that option in response to even a conventional attack backed by a nuclear power. Russia and Ukraine are at odds over competing ceasefire proposals. Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said Friday, in comments made public Saturday, that Moscow’s announcement of a 72-hour ceasefire next week in Ukraine to mark Victory Day in World War II is merely an attempt to create a “soft atmosphere” ahead of Russia’s annual celebrations. Zelenskyy instead renewed calls for a more substantial 30-day pause in hostilities, as the U.S. had initially proposed. He said the proposed ceasefire could start anytime as a meaningful step toward ending the war. Putin on Monday declared a unilateral 72-hour ceasefire in Ukraine to mark Victory Day in World War II, as the U.S. presses for a deal to end the 3-year-old war. The Kremlin said the truce, ordered on “humanitarian grounds,” will run from the start of May 8 and last through the end of May 10 to mark Moscow’s defeat of Nazi Germany in 1945 — Russia’s biggest secular holiday. A Russian drone attack overnight on the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, wounded 11 people, Ukraine’s State Emergency Service said Sunday. Two children were among the wounded. The attack woke up Valentyna Fesiuk, an 83-year-old resident of Kyiv’s Obolon district. “I was just sleeping when the house shook. It was at 12:30. An apartment on the 12th floor caught fire,” she told The Associated Press. The car of another resident, Viacheslav Khotab, caught fire. “I saw my car burning. I was covered with broken glass,” he said. “I couldn’t do anything.” The 54-year-old was frustrated with stalled peace negotiations: “They can’t agree on anything, and we are the ones who suffer the consequences.” Daryna Kravchuk, an 18-year-old student in the district, described how “five to six minutes after the air raid was activated, we heard a strong impact, everything started shaking. … There were three strikes almost in a row after the air raid was activated.” “It’s very scary to witness, we have been suffering from this for so long. People are just suffering all the time. … It’s still very hard to see our country constantly being destroyed,” she told the AP. One person was killed Sunday when a Russian guided bomb hit a village close to the border in Ukraine’s northeastern Sumy region, regional Gov. Oleh Hryhorov said. Russia fired a total of 165 exploding drones and decoys overnight, Ukraine’s air force said. Of those, 69 were intercepted and a further 80 lost, likely having been electronically jammed. Russia also launched two ballistic missiles. Russia’s Defense Ministry said its air defenses shot down 13 Ukrainian drones overnight. | ||
More American Air Defense Is on the Way to Help Ukraine | ||
Sun, 04 May 2025 10:00:48 -0400
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Trump administration to cut thousands of jobs from CIA and other spy agencies – report | ||
Sat, 03 May 2025 05:04:13 -0400
The White House plans to cut staffing at the Central Intelligence Agency by 1,200 positions while other intelligence agencies including the National Security Agency will also shed thousands of jobs, the Washington Post has reported. A person familiar with the plan confirmed the changes to the Associated Press on condition of anonymity. The Trump administration has told members of Congress about the planned cuts at the CIA, which will take place over several years and be accomplished in part through reduced hiring as opposed to layoffs, the Post reported on Friday. The cuts include several hundred people who had already opted for early retirement, it said. In response to questions about the reductions, the CIA issued a statement saying its director, John Ratcliffe, was working to align the agency with Donald Trump’s national security priorities. “These moves are part of a holistic strategy to infuse the agency with renewed energy, provide opportunities for rising leaders to emerge, and better position CIA to deliver on its mission,” the agency said in the statement. A spokesperson for the director of national intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, did not immediately respond to a message seeking comment. Gabbard’s office oversees and coordinates the work of 18 agencies that collect and analyse intelligence. The CIA earlier this year became the first US intelligence agency to join a voluntary redundancy program initiated by Trump, who has vowed to radically downsize the federal workforce in the name of efficiency and frugality. The NSA has already offered voluntary resignations to some employees. The CIA has said it also plans to lay off an unknown number of recently hired employees. The Trump administration has also eliminated diversity, equity and inclusion programs at intelligence agencies, though a judge has temporarily blocked efforts to fire 19 employees working on DEI programs who challenged their terminations. Trump also abruptly fired the general who led the NSA and the Pentagon’s Cyber Command, Tim Haugh. Ratcliffe has vowed to overhaul the CIA and said he wants to boost the agency’s use of intelligence from human sources and its focus on China. With the Associated Press and Agence France-Presse | ||
US to intervene less in peace talks between Ukraine and Russia | ||
Fri, 02 May 2025 15:35:55 -0400
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Ramzan Kadyrov Has Come Into Conflict with the Kremlin, IStories Sources Say | ||
Fri, 02 May 2025 08:24:20 -0400
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Vladimir Putin’s warlord attack dog Ramzan Kadyrov ‘preparing to flee Russia’ as he puts teenage son in cha... | ||
Fri, 02 May 2025 07:34:50 -0400
PUTIN henchman and Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov is "preparing to flee Russia" - as he has put his son in charge of the police. The infamous leader of Chechnya has already made several moves to prepare for his escape - and his efforts have sparked a conflict with Kremlin cronies. Sign up for The US Sun The 48-year-old dictator is a vocal supporter of Russian tyrant Vladimir Putin, and has sent tens of thousands of troops to support the bloody war in Ukraine. He has also been accused of violating human rights, including involvement in kidnapping and torture. But relations between Putin and Kadyrov have soured in recent months, especially after alleged secret meetings between Kadyrov and Middle Eastern officials. Local media reported that the Chechen ruler began "unsanctioned discussions" with officials from several Middle Eastern countries about his assets and family's future - without Moscow's approval. READ MORE WORLD NEWSThe FSB security service officers informed a "furious" Putin, 72, about Kadyrov’s secret negotiations. Kadyrov has reportedly already begun transferring assets abroad, with the leader's family recently acquiring properties in both Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. The Chechen leader spoke with "Muslim monarchies" who he has close ties with, according to IStories. Putin likely sees this as a betrayal, even though Kadyrov sent troops from his private army when the Russian leader faced a coup bid from now-dead Wagner private army chief Yevgeny Prigozhin in June 2023. After suffering from poor health, Kadyrov is hoping that his son will take over after him. It is believed that the ruthless Kremlin-ally is suffering from severe kidney and pancreatic issues, as reported by Novaya Gazeta Europe. But the brutal warlord does not trust that Putin will appoint his son as the next in line to rule Chechnya. Ukraine brings war to Putin’s mad henchman as massive explosion rips through special forces HQ Kadyrov has appointed his 17-year-old son, Adam, as the head of the police, Chechen state media reported on Monday. Reports said that the teenage boy had been appointed "curator" of the Chechen interior ministry. Kadyrov has awarded his son multiple medals and appointed the teenager to a succession of posts, building him up as crown prince and heir apparent. When Adam was aged 16, he was put in charge of his father’s security apparatus and given a leadership role at the Vladimir Putin University of Russian Special Forces, in Chechnya. Leading investigative journalist Andrey Kalitin said Kadyrov senior’s health is now “very poor” with “tough decisions” over the succession imminent. Kalitin said: “The Kremlin has two or three candidates. “Ramzan Kadyrov has one. His name is Adam, he is 17 years old, he has more than 15 awards.” Even if Putin appointed Adam, he would need a regency-style arrangement until he is 30 under Russian laws. The boy won his father’s backing after he assaulted a prisoner accused of burning the Quran. Kadyrov is believed to have amassed a vast fortune as a reward for taming war-riven Chechnya since taking over from his assassinated father. Accused of human rights abuses, Kadyrov has boasted that he has been sanctioned more than anyone by the West. Rumours have persisted that a bloated Kadyrov has “serious” pancreatic and kidney problems, with photos being carefully edited and never showing him below the chest. The notorious leader also has a flashy online presence - last year he flaunted his Tesla with a machine gun bolted to its roof. The Russian Republic of Chechnya is also known for buying Ukrainian prisoners of war and using them as bargaining chips for their own gain. They buy captives from Russian military units, and use them in negotiations to swap with Chechen captives, according to RadioFreeEurope. Kadrov's republic has also used POWs to get sanctions lifted. In January 2024 Kadyrov offered to release 20 Ukrainian captives in exchange for the removal of US sanctions against his relatives and horses. Read More on The US SunThe speculation comes as NATO scrambled fighter jets after Putin unleashed a barrage of nuclear-capable bombers on Ukraine. Russia struck central Kyiv as well as other location in brutal strikes which included kamikaze drones and ballistic missiles. | ||
Azerbaijan: The invisible hand behind Russia’s oil exports to Europe | ||
Thu, 01 May 2025 13:40:28 -0400
Ara Nazarian is an associate professor of Orthopaedic Surgery at Harvard Medical School. He graduated from Tennessee Technological University with a degree in mechanical engineering, followed by graduate degrees from Boston University, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology and Harvard University. He has been involved in the Armenian community for over a decade, having served in a variety of capacities at the Hamazkayin Armenian Educational and Cultural Society, the Armenian Cultural and Educational Center, Armenian National Committee of America, St. Stephen’s Armenian Elementary School and the Armenian Revolutionary Federation. | ||
From Silk Road to strategy: Baku, Beijing align for multipolar future | ||
Thu, 01 May 2025 02:55:12 -0400
By Mazahir Afandiyev I AzerNEWS At a time when the global political architecture is being reshaped—particularly against the backdrop of the new challenges brought by the Fourth Industrial Revolution—every country seeks to secure its national interests by participating in global processes and managing its economic and political relations with other states. Although many international organizations advocate for peaceful and dialogue-based solutions to global issues, recent experiences show that states with economic resilience and broad military-political capabilities have a stronger say in international affairs. In this new multipolar world order, the People's Republic of China has begun to play a more critical role, solidifying its position in certain regions and creating new opportunities for cooperation. In Azerbaijan’s case, the foundation of friendly and partnership relations with China is linked to the name of National Leader Heydar Aliyev. During his tenure as First Deputy Chairman of the USSR Council of Ministers, Heydar Aliyev held numerous meetings with Chinese representatives, being well-informed about China’s dynamics and development. These contacts continued successfully during Azerbaijan’s years of independence. After gaining independence, mutual official visits between the two countries’ high-ranking officials further strengthened diplomatic ties. Heydar Aliyev’s official visits to China and meetings with its leaders laid the groundwork for future cooperation. During his first official visit to China from March 7–10, 1994, National Leader Heydar Aliyev met with President Jiang Zemin and Prime Minister Li Peng. During this visit, a joint declaration on the fundamentals of developing friendly relations between the two countries was signed, along with eight agreements covering topics such as the opening of air routes, scientific-technical and cultural cooperation, medicine, radio and television, and tourism. These successfully established relations have been further strengthened over the past 20 years under the leadership of President Ilham Aliyev. Since 2005, President Aliyev has made several visits to China. However, his state visit to the People's Republic of China from April 22–24, 2025, can be considered a historic milestone in bilateral cooperation. As a result of bilateral and extended meetings with the President of China, a Joint Declaration on Establishing Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Relations comprising 18 clauses was signed. This agreement opens new avenues for Azerbaijan—the leading country of the South Caucasus—to expand future cooperation with other states. In particular, the agreement on lifting the visa regime between the two countries increases expectations for the continued development of friendly and respectful relations. As highlighted by the President in an interview with China Global Television Network during his visit, "Azerbaijan has signed strategic partnership declarations with many countries in the South Caucasus region and even some European countries, but the one with China is the strongest among them." In the same interview, President Ilham Aliyev touched on all aspects of modern cooperation with China, clarifying various points of interest related to political, economic, cultural, and humanitarian fields for a vast audience. It should be noted that China has succeeded in creating a new reality in the Eurasian region and globally over the past decade. Azerbaijan, too, aims to deepen relations globally based on mutual respect and trust. It strives to define new directions in line with the challenges of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, while also working to attract investment and boost capital inflows into the country. As the President emphasized, Azerbaijan possesses significant logistical capabilities in the North-South and East-West transportation corridors. The country is committed to being a reliable energy supplier and enhancing its trade turnover. This effort continues to deepen and diversify day by day. Azerbaijan also joined the “Belt and Road” initiative, proposed by China in 2013 to improve infrastructure and connectivity across Eurasian countries. Within this initiative, a new trade corridor has been established to transport goods directly from East to West under favorable conditions. Notably, Azerbaijan was the first country in the Caucasus to support China’s “Belt and Road” initiative. In this context, Azerbaijan plays the role of a logistics hub, junction, and bridge in implementing the strategy. Thus, Azerbaijan's transportation and logistics advantages—critical for both the ancient Silk Road and the modern “Belt and Road” initiative—are clearly evident. The bilateral economic-political relations established with friendly countries, as well as Azerbaijan’s commitment, solidarity, and alliances demonstrated in international organizations, are valuable not only for our country and region but for the entire Eurasian continent. We can confidently say that the direction defined by President Ilham Aliyev in Azerbaijan’s multi-vector foreign policy is aimed at a prosperous future and reflects the intention to deepen relations with Eurasian countries—particularly with the People's Republic of China—in the fields of economy, politics, culture, and humanitarian cooperation. Mazahir Afandiyev, the author is a member of the Azerbaijani Parliament | ||
Elon Musk takes hit as Europeans ditch X in droves | ||
Wed, 30 Apr 2025 16:15:31 -0400
Trump-Ukraine minerals deal hits yet another late snagU.S. president has previously described such a pact as reimbursement for billions in American aid sent to help Kyiv against Russia’s full-scale invasion. 5 HRS ago 4 mins read
Von der Leyen slams Trump: We don’t punish neighborsCommission president criticizes the American leader’s trade war, approach to other countries and targeting of universities. Apr 29 3 mins read
Malta’s ‘golden passport’ scheme is illegal, EU top court rulesCourt of Justice of the EU says Tuesday the program was nothing short of the “commercialisation” of citizenship. Apr 29 2 mins read
Canada’s conservative leader Pierre Poilievre loses his own seat in election collapseThe remarkable campaign was upended by a backlash against U.S. President Donald Trump, which sparked a stunning liberal resurgence. Apr 29 2 mins read | ||
Франция обвинила военную разведку России в кибератаках | ||
Tue, 29 Apr 2025 13:45:17 -0400
Во вторник Франция официально обвинила российскую военную разведку в кибератаках на страну на протяжении последнего десятилетия, включая взлом предвыборной кампании президента Эммануэля Макрона в 2017 году и атаку на телевизионную сеть TV5 Monde в 2015 году. Об этом сообщает AFP. "Военная разведка России (ГРУ) на протяжении нескольких лет ведёт кибератаки против Франции, используя хакерскую группу, известную под названием APT28", — заявил министр иностранных дел Жан-Ноэль Барро в посте в социальной сети X, впервые официально возложив ответственность за эти атаки на ГРУ. В 2017 году газета Financial Times писала, что Российская Федерация мобилизовала хакерскую группу АРТ28 (другие названия - Pawn Storm, Fancy Bear, BlueDelta). Она известна своими атаками на французскую телевизионную сеть TV5Monde, частную военную компанию США Blackwater, Минобороны Франции, Венгрии и Госдепартамент США. Специалисты по кибербезопасности США, Британии, Израиля и Германии уже тогда заявляли, что приказы АРТ28 отдает главное разведывательное управление России. Москва категорически отрицает свое сотрудничество с хакерами. | ||
AI-Powered OSINT Tools in 2025 | How Artificial Intelligence is Transforming Open-Source Intelligence Gathering | ||
Mon, 28 Apr 2025 13:17:40 -0400
The rise of AI-powered OSINT tools in 2025 has revolutionized the way intelligence professionals, cybersecurity experts, and law enforcement agencies collect and analyze open-source data. AI-driven OSINT tools can automate reconnaissance, analyze large datasets, and detect hidden patterns, making intelligence gathering faster and more efficient. From social media tracking and deepfake detection to NLP-based data analysis and machine learning-driven threat detection, AI enhances the accuracy and effectiveness of OSINT investigations. However, ethical concerns, misinformation risks, and AI model limitations remain challenges. This blog explores the best AI tools for OSINT in 2025, their benefits, challenges, and future trends in intelligence gathering.Table of Contents
IntroductionIn 2025, Open-Source Intelligence (OSINT) remains a vital tool for cybersecurity, threat intelligence, law enforcement, and competitive analysis. With the integration of artificial intelligence (AI), OSINT data collection has become more efficient, precise, and automated than ever before. AI-powered tools can scan massive datasets, extract actionable insights, and automate intelligence gathering, reducing human effort while increasing accuracy. From automated web crawlers to AI-driven social media analysis, facial recognition, NLP-based intelligence gathering, and deepfake detection, AI is changing the landscape of OSINT investigations. This blog explores the best AI tools for OSINT in 2025, their functionalities, and how they assist intelligence professionals in gathering and analyzing open-source data. What is OSINT and Why is AI Important?Understanding OSINTOSINT (Open-Source Intelligence) involves collecting and analyzing publicly available data from multiple sources, including:
How AI Enhances OSINTAI-driven OSINT tools offer several advantages:
AI significantly improves the speed, accuracy, and efficiency of OSINT investigations, helping professionals track threats, verify sources, and extract intelligence with minimal human intervention. Best AI Tools for OSINT Data Gathering in 20251. Maltego – AI-Powered Network AnalysisMaltego is one of the most advanced AI-driven OSINT tools for intelligence gathering and digital forensics.
2. OSINT Framework – AI-Enhanced Data DiscoveryOSINT Framework is an open-source intelligence tool that integrates AI for advanced data discovery.
3. Shodan – AI-Based Internet ReconnaissanceShodan is known as the "Google for hackers," allowing OSINT professionals to scan and track internet-connected devices.
4. SpiderFoot – AI-Powered Digital Footprint AnalysisSpiderFoot is an automated OSINT tool designed to analyze an individual's or organization’s online footprint.
5. Google Dorking – AI-Assisted Advanced SearchGoogle Dorking leverages AI to extract hidden data from search engines.
6. Social-Searcher – AI for Social Media IntelligenceSocial-Searcher is an AI-powered social media OSINT tool used for tracking online activities.
How AI Improves OSINT Investigations
Challenges of AI in OSINTDespite its advantages, AI-based OSINT tools face some challenges:
The Future of AI in OSINTThe future of AI in OSINT is expected to include:
As AI technology continues to evolve, OSINT professionals will rely more on AI-driven automation, predictive analysis, and deep learning models to gather intelligence effectively. ConclusionAI-powered OSINT tools are reshaping the way intelligence is gathered and analyzed in 2025. From automated social media monitoring to advanced data discovery and digital footprint tracking, AI helps professionals detect threats, verify information, and uncover hidden intelligence efficiently. While AI brings speed, scalability, and precision to OSINT, it is not without challenges. Ethical considerations, misinformation detection, and AI model accuracy remain critical concerns. For organizations and cybersecurity professionals, leveraging AI-powered OSINT tools is no longer optional—it is essential for staying ahead in the intelligence and cybersecurity landscape. FAQsWhat is OSINT, and how does AI improve it?OSINT (Open-Source Intelligence) involves collecting publicly available information for intelligence and security purposes. AI enhances OSINT by automating data collection, analyzing patterns, and improving threat detection accuracy. Which are the best AI-powered OSINT tools in 2025?Some of the top AI-driven OSINT tools include Maltego, Shodan, SpiderFoot, Social-Searcher, Google Dorking, and OSINT Framework, each specializing in different aspects of intelligence gathering. How does AI automate OSINT data collection?AI uses web crawlers, machine learning algorithms, and data mining techniques to scan, extract, and analyze large amounts of publicly available information. Can AI detect deepfakes and misinformation in OSINT?Yes, AI-powered tools can detect deepfakes and misinformation by analyzing synthetic media patterns, facial recognition inconsistencies, and AI-generated text anomalies. How does AI assist in cybersecurity OSINT?AI helps in cybersecurity OSINT by identifying vulnerabilities, monitoring cyber threats, detecting phishing attempts, and analyzing hacker activities on dark web forums. What role does NLP play in OSINT investigations?Natural Language Processing (NLP) enables AI to extract intelligence from text-based sources, such as news articles, social media posts, and leaked documents. Can AI track individuals and organizations through OSINT?Yes, AI-powered OSINT tools can analyze digital footprints, social media activity, and network connections to track individuals and organizations. What are the ethical concerns of AI in OSINT?AI-driven OSINT raises ethical concerns related to privacy, mass surveillance, data misuse, and the potential for AI-generated disinformation. Is AI-powered OSINT legal?AI-powered OSINT is legal if used for ethical investigations, cybersecurity, and law enforcement purposes, but unauthorized surveillance and data scraping may violate regulations. How does AI-powered OSINT help in law enforcement?Law enforcement agencies use AI for crime investigation, tracking suspects, detecting fraud, and identifying cyber threats. What is Google Dorking, and how does AI enhance it?Google Dorking is an advanced search technique used to find hidden online data. AI enhances Google Dorking by automating queries and detecting exposed sensitive information. Can AI detect fake social media accounts in OSINT investigations?Yes, AI analyzes account activity, language patterns, and metadata to identify fake profiles, bots, and coordinated misinformation campaigns. How does AI detect cyber threats using OSINT?AI scans dark web forums, security reports, and hacker discussions to predict and prevent potential cyberattacks. What are the challenges of using AI for OSINT?Challenges include data accuracy issues, ethical concerns, AI model biases, reliance on public data, and difficulties in detecting sophisticated deepfakes. Can AI identify security vulnerabilities through OSINT?Yes, AI-powered tools like Shodan and SpiderFoot scan exposed devices, open ports, and unprotected servers to identify security risks. How is machine learning applied in OSINT?Machine learning in OSINT is used for pattern recognition, behavior analysis, anomaly detection, and automated intelligence reporting. How does AI enhance social media intelligence gathering?AI tracks trending topics, sentiment analysis, fake news detection, and user behavior monitoring across multiple platforms. Can AI OSINT tools access the dark web?Yes, some AI-powered OSINT tools scan dark web marketplaces and forums for leaked credentials, cybercrime discussions, and emerging threats. What industries benefit from AI-powered OSINT?Industries such as cybersecurity, law enforcement, corporate security, journalism, and competitive intelligence benefit from AI-driven OSINT solutions. How does AI identify misinformation in OSINT data?AI uses fact-checking databases, linguistic analysis, and AI-generated content detection to verify the authenticity of information. Is AI OSINT useful for financial fraud detection?Yes, AI detects fraudulent financial transactions, insider trading, and money laundering schemes by analyzing public financial records and market data. What role does facial recognition play in AI-driven OSINT?Facial recognition AI helps identify individuals in public images, security footage, and social media platforms, aiding in investigations. How does AI contribute to open-source cyber threat intelligence?AI enhances cyber threat intelligence by analyzing malware reports, hacker activities, and vulnerability disclosures from public sources. Can AI predict future cyber threats using OSINT?Yes, AI uses predictive analytics and historical data patterns to forecast potential cyber threats and attack trends. What is the difference between AI-driven OSINT and traditional OSINT?Traditional OSINT relies on manual searches and human analysis, while AI-driven OSINT automates data collection, enhances accuracy, and processes large datasets faster. Can AI-powered OSINT be used for competitive intelligence?Yes, businesses use AI OSINT to monitor competitor strategies, market trends, brand mentions, and industry news. How does AI help journalists and researchers with OSINT?AI assists journalists and researchers by fact-checking sources, analyzing large volumes of public records, and detecting fake news. What are the future trends in AI for OSINT?Future trends include AI-powered deepfake detection, blockchain-integrated OSINT, automated misinformation tracking, and AI-driven risk assessments. Should organizations invest in AI-powered OSINT tools?Yes, organizations should invest in AI-driven OSINT tools to enhance security, improve threat intelligence, and gain valuable insights for decision-making. | ||
Opinion | The Two Faces of Azerbaijan’s Mr. Aliyev | ||
Sun, 27 Apr 2025 10:45:53 -0400
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Trump and Zelenskiy meet one-on-one in Vatican basilica to seek Ukraine peace | ||
Sat, 26 Apr 2025 11:14:32 -0400
VATICAN CITY, April 26 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump and Ukrainian leader Volodymyr Zelenskiy, in Rome for the funeral of Pope Francis, met one-on-one in a marble-lined Vatican basilica on Saturday to try to revive faltering efforts to end Russia's war with Ukraine. Zelenskiy said the meeting could prove historic if it delivers the kind of peace he is hoping for, and a White House spokesman called it "very productive". The Reuters Tariff Watch newsletter is your daily guide to the latest global trade and tariff news. Sign up here. The two leaders, leaning in close to each other with no aides around them while seated in St Peter's Basilica, spoke for about 15 minutes, according to Zelenskiy's office, and images of the meeting released by Kyiv and Washington. The meeting at the Vatican, their first since an angry encounter in the Oval Office in Washington in February, comes at a critical time in negotiations aimed at bringing an end to fighting between Ukraine and Russia. After Pope Francis's funeral service, Trump boarded Air Force One and departed Rome. While in the air he published a social media post in which he took a tough tone on Russian President Vladimir Putin. "There was no reason for Putin to be shooting missiles into civilian areas, cities and towns, over the last few days," Trump posted on Truth Social. Twelve people were killed on Thursday when a missile fired by Russia hit a Kyiv apartment block. "It makes me think that maybe he doesn’t want to stop the war, he's just tapping me along, and has to be dealt with differently, through 'Banking' or 'Secondary Sanctions?' Too many people are dying!!!" Trump wrote. Trump's post was a departure from his usual rhetoric which has seen the toughest criticism directed at Zelenskiy, while he has spoken positively about Putin. In a post on social media platform Telegram, Zelenskiy wrote: "Good meeting. One-on-one, we managed to discuss a lot. We hope for a result from all the things that were spoken about." He said those topics included: "The protection of the lives of our people. A complete and unconditional ceasefire. A reliable and lasting peace that will prevent a recurrence of war." Zelenskiy added: "It was a very symbolic meeting that has the potential to become historic if we achieve joint results. Thank you, President Donald Trump!" NO AIDES IN SIGHTIn one photograph released by Zelenskiy's office, the Ukrainian and U.S. leaders sat opposite each other in a hall of the basilica, around two feet apart, and were leaning in towards each other in conversation. No aides could be seen in the image. In a second photograph, from the same location, Zelenskiy, Trump, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and French President Emmanuel Macron were shown standing in a tight huddle. Macron had his hand on Zelenskiy's shoulder. After Trump and Zelenskiy met in the basilica, the two men joined other world leaders outside in Saint Peter's Square at the funeral service for Pope Francis, who made the pursuit of peace, including in Ukraine, a motif of his papacy. Italian Cardinal Giovanni Battista Re, who gave the sermon at the funeral service, recalled how Pope Francis did not stop raising his voice to call for negotiations to end conflicts. "War always leaves the world worse than it was before: it is always a painful and tragic defeat for everyone," the cardinal said. DIFFERENCES OVER TERRITORYTrump has been pressing both Moscow and Kyiv to agree a ceasefire and peace deal. He had previously warned his administration would walk away from its efforts to achieve a peace if the two sides do not agree a deal soon. After a round of shuttle diplomacy this week, differences have emerged between the position of the Trump White House on peace talks and the stance of Ukraine and its European allies, according to documents from the talks obtained by Reuters. Washington is proposing a legal recognition that Crimea, the Ukrainian peninsula annexed by Moscow in 2014, is Russian territory, something that Kyiv and its allies in Europe say is a red line they will not cross. There are also differences on how quickly sanctions on Russia would be lifted if a peace deal was signed, what kind of security guarantees Ukraine would have, and how Ukraine would be financially compensated. Trump and Zelenskiy have had a rocky personal relationship. At their Oval Office meeting, Trump accused the Ukrainian leader of "gambling with World War Three". Since then, Kyiv has tried to repair relations, but the barbs have continued. Zelenskiy has said Trump was trapped in a "disinformation bubble" that favoured Moscow, while the U.S. leader accused Zelenskiy of foot-dragging on a peace deal and making "inflammatory" statements. But the two men need each other. Trump requires Zelenskiy's buy-in to achieve his stated ambition of bringing a swift peace between Russia and Ukraine, while Kyiv needs Trump to pressure Moscow into diluting some of the more onerous conditions it has set for a truce. At the Oval Office meeting in February, a reporter who was present from a conservative U.S. news network accused Zelenskiy of disrespecting the occasion by not wearing a suit. Zelenskiy, since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, has eschewed suits in favour of military-style attire, saying it is his way of showing solidarity with his countryman fighting to defend Ukraine. In Rome on Saturday, Zelenskiy again decided against a suit, and instead wore a dark shirt, buttoned up to the neck with no tie, and wore a dark military-style jacket over the top of that. Reporting by Steve Holland and Angelo Amante; Additional reporting by Christian Lowe and Andrii Pryimachenko in Kyiv and Alistair Smout in London; Writing by Christian Lowe; Editing by Alexandra Hudson Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles., opens new tab | ||
Ukraine hit by another night of deadly Russian strikes despite Trump’s ‘Vladimir, STOP!’ plea | CNN | ||
Fri, 25 Apr 2025 07:05:56 -0400
CNN — Moscow has inflicted another round of deadly strikes on Ukraine despite US President Donald Trump’s plea for Russian President Vladimir Putin to “STOP!” attacking its neighbor. At least eight people were killed in drone strikes across the country, a night after Russia launched its deadliest bombardment of Ukraine since the middle of last year. A drone attack on the eastern city of Pavlohrad on Friday killed three people, including a 76-year-old woman and a child, and injured 10 others, Dnipropetrovsk Governor Serhiy Lysak said. In southern Ukraine, two people were also killed in strikes on Kherson, the region’s governor, Oleksandr Prokudin, said, adding the strikes targeted critical infrastructure and residential buildings. Two more people died in attacks on Ukraine’s eastern Donetsk region, and one person was killed in Kharkiv in the northeast of the country, regional leaders said. Ukraine’s capital Kyiv was the main target of Russia’s massive bombardment on Thursday, which hit several locations across the city, killing 12 people and wounding 87 others. Ukraine’s emergency services said on Friday that it had completed the search for survivors in the rubble of one residential block, hit by what Ukrainian authorities said was a North Korean ballistic missile. The fresh round of attacks come after President Trump vented his frustration over the lack of progress on a peace deal on Thursday, saying he is “not happy” and urging Putin to “STOP!” the attacks, in a post on his Truth Social platform. Hours later, however, Trump said he believed both Russia and Ukraine want peace. On Friday, Trump’s special envoy Steve Witkoff is expected to arrive in Moscow for further talks with Putin on reaching an agreement. Russia’s Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Moscow was “ready to reach a deal,” in an interview with CBS News on Thursday, but added that there were still some specific points that needed to be “fine-tuned.” Earlier this week, Trump launched a new tirade against Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky, accusing him of harming peace negotiations, after Zelensky said it was against his country’s constitution to recognize Russian control of Crimea, which was illegally annexed by Russia in 2014. Any move to recognize Russia’s control of Crimea would reverse a decade of US policy and could upset the widely held post-World War Two consensus that international borders should not be changed by force. As part of its mission to seal a peace deal to end the three-year war, the US administration has proposed recognizing Crimea as part of Russia, a move which diplomatic sources have told CNN has highly alarmed US allies in Europe. The spat over Crimea is the latest in a series of very public disagreements between Trump and Zelensky. Trump has insisted he has been equally as tough on Putin, but got defensive on Thursday when asked by White House reporters what concessions Russia had made in the conflict. “Stopping the war, stopping taking the whole country. Pretty big concession,” Trump said. “We’re putting a lot of pressure on Russia, and Russia knows that, and some people that are close to it know or he wouldn’t be talking right now.” Jennifer Hansler, Alex Marquardt and Kylie Atwood contributed reporting | ||
Hundreds of scholars say U.S. is swiftly heading toward authoritarianism | ||
Tue, 22 Apr 2025 05:46:55 -0400
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump looks on during Turning Point USA's AmericaFest at the Phoenix Convention Center on Dec. 22, 2024, in Phoenix. The annual four day conference geared toward energizing and connecting conservative youth hosts some of the country's leading conservative politicians and activists. Rebecca Noble/Getty Images hide caption toggle caption Rebecca Noble/Getty Images WASHINGTON — A survey of more than 500 political scientists finds that the vast majority think the United States is moving swiftly from liberal democracy toward some form of authoritarianism. In the benchmark survey, known as Bright Line Watch, U.S.-based professors rate the performance of American democracy on a scale from zero (complete dictatorship) to 100 (perfect democracy). After President Trump's election in November, scholars gave American democracy a rating of 67. Several weeks into Trump's second term, that figure plummeted to 55. "That's a precipitous drop," says John Carey, a professor of government at Dartmouth and co-director of Bright Line Watch. "There's certainly consensus: We're moving in the wrong direction." Carey said the decline between November and February was the biggest since Bright Line Watch began surveying scholars on threats to American democracy in 2017. In the survey, respondents consider 30 indicators of democratic performance, including whether the government interferes with the press, punishes political opponents and whether the legislature and the judiciary can check executive authority. Not all political scientists view Trump with alarm, but many like Carey who focus on democracy and authoritarianism are deeply troubled by Trump's attempts to expand executive power over his first several months in office. "We've slid into some form of authoritarianism," says Steven Levitsky, a professor of government at Harvard, and co-author of How Democracies Die. "It is relatively mild compared to some others. It is certainly reversible, but we are no longer living in a liberal democracy." Protesters wave Turkish flags in front of the New Mosque in Istanbul. Despite a government protest ban, mass demonstrations erupted nationwide following the arrest of Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu on corruption charges, with crowds demanding democracy and chanting "people, rights, justice." Scholars of democracy view Turkey as a competitive authoritarian regime in which the ruling party uses institutions such as the courts to attack their political opponents. Su Cassiano/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty hide caption toggle caption Su Cassiano/Middle East Images/AFP via Getty Kim Lane Scheppele, a Princeton sociologist who has spent years tracking Hungary, is also deeply concerned: "We are on a very fast slide into what's called competitive authoritarianism." When these scholars use the term "authoritarianism," they aren't talking about a system like China's, a one-party state with no meaningful elections. Instead, they are referring to something called "competitive authoritarianism," the kind scholars say they see in countries such as Hungary and Turkey. In a competitive authoritarian system, a leader comes to power democratically and then erodes the system of checks and balances. Typically, the executive fills the civil service and key appointments — including the prosecutor's office and judiciary — with loyalists. He or she then attacks the media, universities and nongovernmental organizations to blunt public criticism and tilt the electoral playing field in the ruling party's favor. "The government would still have elections and would nominally be democratic," says Rory Truex, a political scientist at Princeton who focuses on China. "But those elections would no longer be free and fair." A man walks next to a graffiti with the image of the late Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez in Caracas. Political scientists say that President Trump does not enjoy the huge popular support that leaders like Chávez harnessed to dominate their nation's political systems. Raul Arboleda/AFP via Getty Images hide caption toggle caption Raul Arboleda/AFP via Getty Images While the vast majority of scholars surveyed say Trump is pushing the country toward autocracy, other professors strongly disagree. James Campbell, a retired political scientist at the University at Buffalo, SUNY, says Trump is using legitimate presidential powers to address long-standing problems. Campbell points to Trump's use of tariffs to try to push companies to bring manufacturing jobs back to the United States. In recent decades, economic globalization led to catastrophic layoffs of everyone from furniture makers in North Carolina to auto assembly-line workers in the Midwest as firms sent work overseas, especially to China. "I think they've done an excellent job," Campbell says of the Trump administration. Campbell adds that he thinks many political scientists may see Trump as autocratic because they don't like him or his politics. "I think most of them are coming from the political left," he says. "There's a comfort in all of them getting together and saying, 'Oh, Trump's a bad guy. He's authoritarian.' " NPR reached out to the Trump administration, which has yet to respond. President Trump has spoken admiringly of Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. U.S. scholars of democracy say Orbán has used various tactics, including stocking state agencies with loyalists and attacking media business models, to turn Hungary into a competitive authoritarian state. Under competitive authoritarianism, there are still elections, but the playing field is tilted in favor of the ruling party. Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images hide caption toggle caption Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images But many democracy scholars say the Trump administration is using tactics employed by autocrats, and they point to specific actions. For instance, Trump's Federal Communications Commission (FCC) is investigating all the major broadcast outlets — except for Rupert Murdoch's Fox, which owns the pro-Trump Fox News Channel. The FCC is questioning how CBS edited an interview of Trump's 2024 rival, Kamala Harris, and whether NPR and PBS are complying with regulations on corporate underwriting spots. The FCC can revoke local broadcast licenses, which could damage the networks financially. Princeton's Scheppele says this is reminiscent of Hungary under Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. Orbán took aim at the business model of Hungarian media, which heavily relied on state advertising. "Overnight, [Orbán] cuts all the advertising to the independent and opposition media," Scheppele says. "They all have a hole blown in their budget." In another example, Trump has withheld or threatened to withhold billions of dollars from universities, including Harvard, Princeton and Columbia, citing concerns about antisemitism. Scheppele says Orbán also targeted universities that had been critical of his government. "In the first two years, Orbán cut the university budgets by 40%," she says. Another way to measure authoritarianism, according to Levitsky, is whether publicly opposing the government comes with a cost. He says — under Trump — it does. For instance, Trump has issued executive orders barring lawyers with firms he doesn't like from entering government buildings and representing government contractors. Fear of government retribution is now spreading through society. A scholar who spoke to NPR for this story later asked not to be quoted, saying he feared the Trump administration might try to punish him by slashing research grants he's working on. In a recent NPR series on free speech, many people did not want to be identified by name. Teachers, students and their sympathizers protest in central Budapest following a government-mandated "smartphone ban" in schools that was signed by nationalist Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images hide caption toggle caption Attila Kisbenedek/AFP via Getty Images But even some scholars who say Trump has autocratic tendencies think the American system should be able to withstand them. Kurt Weyland, a political scientist at the University of Texas at Austin, says that so far the lower courts are checking Trump. He also says Trump does not have the overwhelming popular support that autocratic leaders such as Venezuela's Hugo Chávez and El Salvador's Nayib Bukele enjoyed and that was crucial to their ability to change their country's political systems. For instance, Bukele, who met with Trump at the White House last week, has seen approval ratings over 90% and won reelection last year by a landslide. By contrast, a recent poll showed Trump's approval rating falling to 43% and he was reelected with just under half the popular vote. "These populist leaders managed to engineer new constitutions that seriously concentrated power and that were the breakpoint that put those countries on the path toward competitive authoritarian rule," says Weyland, who wrote Democracy's Resilience to Populism's Threat: Countering Global Alarmism. "In the United States, that is out of the question." Bright Line Watch conducted its survey in early February. It plans to put another in the field soon. Carey, one of the co-directors, expects political scientists to downgrade America's democracy even further. | ||
Azerbaijan : Baku's masterminds tracking down opponents abroad - 08/03/2024 - Intelligence Online | ||
Sun, 20 Apr 2025 06:12:37 -0400
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Mounting Calls for Shin Bet Chief Ronen Bar’s Resignation Amid October 7 Failures and "Qatargate" Scandal | ||
Thu, 17 Apr 2025 10:29:55 -0400
(TJV NEWS) Pressure is intensifying on Shin Bet Director Ronen Bar as Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and key government officials move to oust him following deepening allegations of negligence and political misuse of his office. At the heart of the storm are the devastating failures that led to the October 7 Hamas invasion and the unfolding “Qatargate” scandal involving foreign money and influence in Israel’s political sphere. Netanyahu’s spokesperson Omer Dostri previously accused Bar of failing to act on critical intelligence that could have prevented the massacre. “Ronen Bar had the opportunity to retire with honor after his searing failure on October 7, as the outgoing Chief of Staff did,” Dostri said. “But he preferred not to attend the government meeting dealing with his case simply because he was afraid of giving answers.”
The Prime Minister himself has reportedly lost all confidence in Bar, who remains in office despite calls for his dismissal from bereaved families, security officials, and senior lawmakers. The government has filed a petition with the High Court to lift a temporary order blocking Bar’s removal, arguing that continued immunity for the Shin Bet head undermines Israel’s democratic structure and civilian control over security institutions.
October 7: A Catastrophic Security Breakdown The failure of Israel’s domestic intelligence agency to anticipate or thwart the October 7 attack is now central to calls for Bar’s resignation. Families of soldiers killed in the war say accountability must start at the top. In a raw and emotional interview with 103FM, Tzik Bonzel, father of Sgt. Amit Bonzel who was killed in Gaza, spoke out after a face-to-face meeting with Bar:
Bonzel described the encounter as deeply painful and said Bar appeared unprepared for the intensity of the criticism. “I demanded to know when he would resign and stop harming this holy organization,” Bonzel said. “Qatargate” and Political Weaponization Fueling the storm is the so-called “Qatargate” affair, in which Shin Bet allegedly uncovered that advisers to Netanyahu received funds from Qatar, a nation widely known for financing Hamas. Critics claim the prime minister is attempting to silence Bar to derail the investigation. Left-leaning NGOs, including the Movement for Quality Government (MQG), have accused Netanyahu of politicizing the ISA and attacking law enforcement institutions. But the Prime Minister’s allies argue that Bar has weaponized his position, using the hostage crisis and sensitive information to shield himself from criticism.
Netanyahu’s Approach: Soft Pressure, Hard Questions Though Netanyahu has largely refrained from personal attacks, his decision to invite Bar to join a security briefing this week was widely seen as a final olive branch amid rising tensions. That same day, the government formally requested the High Court lift its hold on Bar’s dismissal.
For many Israelis, the question is no longer whether Ronen Bar should go—but why he hasn’t already. As AllIsrael.com notes, the ongoing court wrangling and political defense of Bar are delaying overdue accountability at a time when public trust in the Shin Bet—and the entire security establishment—is at historic lows. In the eyes of Netanyahu, grieving families, and a growing number of lawmakers, Ronen Bar’s continued leadership is incompatible with national recovery, operational reform, and trust in Israel’s most vital security institutions. The question is whether Israel’s legal system will let the government act—or let this crisis fester furthe | ||
When the New York Times lost its way | ||
Tue, 15 Apr 2025 16:02:21 -0400
By James Bennet Are we truly so precious?” Dean Baquet, the executive editor of the New York Times, asked me one Wednesday evening in June 2020. I was the editorial-page editor of the Times, and we had just published an op-ed by Tom Cotton, a senator from Arkansas, that was outraging many members of the Times staff. America’s conscience had been shocked days before by images of a white police officer kneeling on the neck of a black man, George Floyd, until he died. It was a frenzied time in America, assaulted by covid-19, scalded by police barbarism. Throughout the country protesters were on the march. Substantive reform of the police, so long delayed, suddenly seemed like a real possibility, but so did violence and political backlash. In some cities rioting and looting had broken out. It was the kind of crisis in which journalism could fulfil its highest ambitions of helping readers understand the world, in order to fix it, and in the Times’s Opinion section, which I oversaw, we were pursuing our role of presenting debate from all sides. We had published pieces arguing against the idea of relying on troops to stop the violence, and one urging abolition of the police altogether. But Cotton, an army veteran, was calling for the use of troops to protect lives and businesses from rioters. Some Times reporters and other staff were taking to what was then called Twitter, now called X, to attack the decision to publish his argument, for fear he would persuade Times readers to support his proposal and it would be enacted. The next day the Times’s union—its unit of the NewsGuild-CWA—would issue a statement calling the op-ed “a clear threat to the health and safety of the journalists we represent”. The Times had endured many cycles of Twitter outrage for one story or opinion piece or another. It was never fun; it felt like sticking your head in a metal bucket while people were banging it with hammers. The publisher, A.G. Sulzberger, who was about two years into the job, understood why we’d published the op-ed. He had some criticisms about packaging; he said the editors should add links to other op-eds we’d published with a different view. But he’d emailed me that afternoon, saying: “I get and support the reason for including the piece,” because, he thought, Cotton’s view had the support of the White House as well as a majority of the Senate. As the clamour grew, he asked me to call Baquet, the paper’s most senior editor. Like me, Baquet seemed taken aback by the criticism that Times readers shouldn’t hear what Cotton had to say. Cotton had a lot of influence with the White House, Baquet noted, and he could well be making his argument directly to the president, Donald Trump. Readers should know about it. Cotton was also a possible future contender for the White House himself, Baquet added. And, besides, Cotton was far from alone: lots of Americans agreed with him—most of them, according to some polls. “Are we truly so precious?” Baquet asked again, with a note of wonder and frustration. The answer, it turned out, was yes. Less than three days later, on Saturday morning, Sulzberger called me at home and, with an icy anger that still puzzles and saddens me, demanded my resignation. I got mad, too, and said he’d have to fire me. I thought better of that later. I called him back and agreed to resign, flattering myself that I was being noble. Whether or not American democracy endures, a central question historians are sure to ask about this era is why America came to elect Donald Trump, promoting him from a symptom of the country’s institutional, political and social degradation to its agent-in-chief. There are many reasons for Trump’s ascent, but changes in the American news media played a critical role. Trump’s manipulation and every one of his political lies became more powerful because journalists had forfeited what had always been most valuable about their work: their credibility as arbiters of truth and brokers of ideas, which for more than a century, despite all of journalism’s flaws and failures, had been a bulwark of how Americans govern themselves. I hope those historians will also be able to tell the story of how journalism found its footing again – how editors, reporters and readers, too, came to recognise that journalism needed to change to fulfil its potential in restoring the health of American politics. As Trump’s nomination and possible re-election loom, that work could not be more urgent. I think Sulzberger shares this analysis. In interviews and his own writings, including an essay earlier this year for the Columbia Journalism Review, he has defended “independent journalism”, or, as I understand him, fair-minded, truth-seeking journalism that aspires to be open and objective. It’s good to hear the publisher speak up in defence of such values, some of which have fallen out of fashion not just with journalists at the Times and other mainstream publications but at some of the most prestigious schools of journalism. Until that miserable Saturday morning I thought I was standing shoulder-to-shoulder with him in a struggle to revive them. I thought, and still think, that no American institution could have a better chance than the Times, by virtue of its principles, its history, its people and its hold on the attention of influential Americans, to lead the resistance to the corruption of political and intellectual life, to overcome the encroaching dogmatism and intolerance. But Sulzberger seems to underestimate the struggle he is in, that all journalism and indeed America itself is in. In describing the essential qualities of independent journalism in his essay, he unspooled a list of admirable traits – empathy, humility, curiosity and so forth. These qualities have for generations been helpful in contending with the Times’s familiar problem, which is liberal bias. I have no doubt Sulzberger believes in them. Years ago he demonstrated them himself as a reporter, covering the American Midwest as a real place full of three-dimensional people, and it would be nice if they were enough to deal with the challenge of this era, too. But, on their own, these qualities have no chance against the Times’s new, more dangerous problem, which is in crucial respects the opposite of the old one. The Times’s problem has metastasised from liberal bias to illiberal bias, from an inclination to favour one side of the national debate to an impulse to shut debate down altogether. All the empathy and humility in the world will not mean much against the pressures of intolerance and tribalism without an invaluable quality that Sulzberger did not emphasise: courage. Don’t get me wrong. Most journalism obviously doesn’t require anything like the bravery expected of a soldier, police officer or protester. But far more than when I set out to become a journalist, doing the work right today demands a particular kind of courage: not just the devil-may-care courage to choose a profession on the brink of the abyss; not just the bulldog courage to endlessly pick yourself up and embrace the ever-evolving technology; but also, in an era when polarisation and social media viciously enforce rigid orthodoxies, the moral and intellectual courage to take the other side seriously and to report truths and ideas that your own side demonises for fear they will harm its cause. One of the glories of embracing illiberalism is that, like Trump, you are always right about everything, and so you are justified in shouting disagreement down. In the face of this, leaders of many workplaces and boardrooms across America find that it is so much easier to compromise than to confront – to give a little ground today in the belief you can ultimately bring people around. This is how reasonable Republican leaders lost control of their party to Trump and how liberal-minded college presidents lost control of their campuses. And it is why the leadership of the New York Times is losing control of its principles. Over the decades the Times and other mainstream news organisations failed plenty of times to live up to their commitments to integrity and open-mindedness. The relentless struggle against biases and preconceptions, rather than the achievement of a superhuman objective omniscience, is what mattered. As everyone knows, the internet knocked the industry off its foundations. Local newspapers were the proving ground between college campuses and national newsrooms. As they disintegrated, the national news media lost a source of seasoned reporters and many Americans lost a journalism whose truth they could verify with their own eyes. As the country became more polarised, the national media followed the money by serving partisan audiences the versions of reality they preferred. This relationship proved self-reinforcing. As Americans became freer to choose among alternative versions of reality, their polarisation intensified. When I was at the Times, the newsroom editors worked hardest to keep Washington coverage open and unbiased, no easy task in the Trump era. And there are still people, in the Washington bureau and across the Times, doing work as fine as can be found in American journalism. But as the top editors let bias creep into certain areas of coverage, such as culture, lifestyle and business, that made the core harder to defend and undermined the authority of even the best reporters. There have been signs the Times is trying to recover the courage of its convictions. The paper was slow to display much curiosity about the hard question of the proper medical protocols for trans children; but once it did, the editors defended their coverage against the inevitable criticism. For any counter-revolution to succeed, the leadership will need to show courage worthy of the paper’s bravest reporters and opinion columnists, the ones who work in war zones or explore ideas that make illiberal staff members shudder. As Sulzberger told me in the past, returning to the old standards will require agonising change. He saw that as the gradual work of many years, but I think he is mistaken. To overcome the cultural and commercial pressures the Times faces, particularly given the severe test posed by another Trump candidacy and possible presidency, its publisher and senior editors will have to be bolder than that. Since Adolph Ochs bought the paper in 1896, one of the most inspiring things the Times has said about itself is that it does its work “without fear or favour”. That is not true of the institution today – it cannot be, not when its journalists are afraid to trust readers with a mainstream conservative argument such as Cotton’s, and its leaders are afraid to say otherwise. As preoccupied as it is with the question of why so many Americans have lost trust in it, the Times is failing to face up to one crucial reason: that it has lost faith in Americans, too. For now, to assert that the Times plays by the same rules it always has is to commit a hypocrisy that is transparent to conservatives, dangerous to liberals and bad for the country as a whole. It makes the Times too easy for conservatives to dismiss and too easy for progressives to believe. The reality is that the Times is becoming the publication through which America’s progressive elite talks to itself about an America that does not really exist. It is hard to imagine a path back to saner American politics that does not traverse a common ground of shared fact. It is equally hard to imagine how America’s diversity can continue to be a source of strength, rather than become a fatal flaw, if Americans are afraid or unwilling to listen to each other. I suppose it is also pretty grandiose to think you might help fix all that. But that hope, to me, is what makes journalism worth doing. The New York Times taught me how to do daily journalism. I joined the paper, for my first stint, in the pre-internet days, in an era of American journalism so different that it was almost another profession. Back in 1991 the Times was anxious not about a print business that was collapsing but about an industry so robust that Long Island Newsday was making a push into New York City. A newspaper war was under way, and the Times was fighting back by expanding its Metro desk, hiring reporters and opening bureaus in Brooklyn, Queens and the Bronx. Metro was the biggest news desk. New reporters had to do rotations of up to a year there to learn the culture and folkways of the paper. Baquet, surely among the greatest investigative journalists America has produced, was then in Metro. I was brought on as a probationary reporter, with a year to prove myself, and like other new hires was put through a series of assignments at the low end of the hierarchy. After about six months the Metro editor, Gerald Boyd, asked me to take a walk with him, as it turned out, to deliver a harsh lesson in Timesian ambition and discipline. Chain-smoking, speaking in his whispery, peculiarly high-pitched voice, he kicked my ass from one end of Times Square to the other. He had taken a chance hiring me, and he was disappointed. There was nothing special about my stories. At the rate I was going, I had no chance of making it onto the paper. The next day was a Saturday, and I reached Boyd at home through the Metro desk to rattle off the speech I’d endlessly rehearsed while staring at the ceiling all night. The gist was that the desk had kept me chasing small-bore stories, blah blah blah. Boyd sounded less surprised than amused to hear from me, and soon gave me a new assignment, asking me to spend three months covering the elderly, one of several new “mini-beats” on subjects the desk had overlooked. I was worried there were good reasons this particular beat had been ignored. At 26, as one of the youngest reporters on the desk, I was also not an obvious candidate for the role of house expert on the wise and grey. But Boyd assigned me to an excellent editor, Suzanne Daley, and as I began studying the city’s elderly and interviewing experts and actual old people, I began to discover the rewards granted any serious reporter: that when you acknowledge how little you know, looking in at a world from the outside brings a special clarity. The subject was more complicated and richer than I imagined, and every person had stories to tell. I wrote about hunger, AIDS and romance among the elderly, about old comedians telling old jokes to old people in senior centres. As I reported on Jews who had fled Germany to settle in Washington Heights or black Americans who had left the Jim Crow south to settle in Bushwick, Brooklyn, it dawned on me that, thanks to Boyd, I was covering the history of the world in the 20th century through the eyes of those who had lived it. After joining the permanent staff, I went, again in humbling ignorance, to Detroit, to cover the auto companies’ – and the city’s – struggle to recapture their former glory. And again I had a chance to learn, in this case, everything from how the largest companies in the world were run, to what it was like to work the line or the sales floor, to the struggle and dignity of life in one of America’s most captivating cities. “We still have a long way to go,” Rosa Parks told me, when I interviewed her after she had been robbed and beaten in her home on Detroit’s west side one August night in 1994. “And so many of our children are going astray.” I began to write about presidential politics two years later, in 1996, and as the most inexperienced member of the team was assigned to cover a long-shot Republican candidate, Pat Buchanan. I packed a bag for a four-day reporting trip and did not return home for six weeks. Buchanan campaigned on an eccentric fusion of social conservatism and statist economic policies, along with coded appeals to racism and antisemitism, that 30 years earlier had elevated George Wallace and 20 years later would be rebranded as Trumpism. He also campaigned with conviction, humour and even joy, a combination I have rarely witnessed. As a Democrat from a family of Democrats, a graduate of Yale and a blossom of the imagined meritocracy, I had my first real chance, at Buchanan’s rallies, to see the world through the eyes of stalwart opponents of abortion, immigration and the relentlessly rising tide of modernity. The task of making the world intelligible was even greater in my first foreign assignment. I arrived in Jerusalem a week before the attacks of September 11th 2001, just after the second intifada had broken out. I had been to the Middle East just once, as a White House reporter covering President Bill Clinton. “Well, in at the deep end,” the foreign editor, Roger Cohen, told me before I left. To spend time with the perpetrators and victims of violence in the Middle East, to listen hard to the reciprocal and reinforcing stories of new and ancient grievances, is to confront the tragic truth that there can be justice on more than one side of a conflict. More than ever, it seemed to me that a reporter gave up something in renouncing the taking of sides: possibly the moral high ground, certainly the psychological satisfaction of righteous anger. But there was a compensating moral and psychological privilege that came with aspiring to journalistic neutrality and open-mindedness, despised as they might understandably be by partisans. Unlike the duelling politicians and advocates of all kinds, unlike the corporate chieftains and their critics, unlike even the sainted non-profit workers, you did not have to pretend things were simpler than they actually were. You did not have to go along with everything that any tribe said. You did not have to pretend that the good guys, much as you might have respected them, were right about everything, or that the bad guys, much as you might have disdained them, never had a point. You did not, in other words, ever have to lie. This fundamental honesty was vital for readers, because it equipped them to make better, more informed judgments about the world. Sometimes it might shock or upset them by failing to conform to their picture of reality. But it also granted them the respect of acknowledging that they were able to work things out for themselves. What a gift it was to be taught and trusted as I was by my editors – to be a reporter with licence to ask anyone anything, to experience the whole world as a school and every source and subject as a teacher. I left after 15 years, in 2006, when I had the chance to become editor of the Atlantic. Rather than starting out on yet another beat at the Times, I felt ready to put my experience to work and ambitious for the responsibility to shape coverage myself. It was also obvious how much the internet was changing journalism. I was eager to figure out how to use it, and anxious about being at the mercy of choices by others, in a time not just of existential peril for the industry, but maybe of opportunity. The Atlantic did not aspire to the same role as the Times. It did not promise to serve up the news of the day without any bias. But it was to opinion journalism what the Times’s reporting was supposed to be to news: honest and open to the world. The question was what the magazine’s 19th-century claim of intellectual independence – to be “of no party or clique” – should mean in the digital era. Those were the glory days of the blog, and we hit on the idea of creating a living op-ed page, a collective of bloggers with different points of view but a shared intellectual honesty who would argue out the meaning of the news of the day. They were brilliant, gutsy writers, and their disagreements were deep enough that I used to joke that my main work as editor was to prevent fistfights. The lessons we learned from adapting the Atlantic to the internet washed back into print. Under its owner, David Bradley, my colleagues and I distilled our purpose as publishing big arguments about big ideas. We made some mistakes – that goes along with any serious journalism ambitious to | ||
FBI analyst targeted in Kash Patel's book is placed on leave | ||
Tue, 15 Apr 2025 08:08:16 -0400
The FBI has placed an analyst on leave whose name was on a list of alleged "deep state" actors in a book written by FBI Director Kash Patel, two people familiar with the matter told NBC News. This was first reported by The New York Times. It’s unclear what reason the FBI gave for the move, and the agency declined to comment. Brian Auten, a Russia expert, was the employee who was placed on leave. He was also among the FBI employees former FBI Director Christopher Wray recommended for internal discipline over in connection with the 2017 investigation into links between Donald Trump as a presidential candidate and the Russian government. A later review by the Justice Department inspector general found no evidence that any FBI employee acted out of political bias in the Russia investigation. Patel included Auten on a list of roughly 60 alleged "deep state" actors in his 2023 book, "Government Gangsters." Patel denounced the FBI analyst by name, writing: “The fact that Auten was not fired from the FBI and prosecuted for his part in the Russia Gate conspiracy is a national embarrassment.” Patel also accused Auten of downplaying information found on the laptop of former President Joe Biden's son, Hunter Biden. Patel has disputed that the list in his book is an enemies list. Patel has his own links to the 2017 investigation into ties between Trump's 2016 campaign and the Russian government. At the start of Trump's first term, Patel worked for then-Rep. Devin Nunes, R-Calif., as a staffer on the GOP-led House Intelligence Committee. In that role, Patel wrote a memo accusing the FBI of making mistakes when it obtained a warrant to conduct surveillance of Carter Page, one of Trump's campaign advisers. Later in the first Trump administration, Patel served on the White House National Security Council. The Trump administration for months has targeted FBI officials who worked on prosecutions of Trump or those who rioted at the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. In January, the Trump administration forced out six of the agency's senior executives and several heads of FBI field offices across the country. A letter sent to those who were fired said their removals were based on their roles in the Jan. 6 prosecutions. Later, in March, the Trump administration forced out the head of the FBI's New York field office after he urged employees to "dig in" in the wake of the January firings. Ken Dilanian is the justice and intelligence correspondent for NBC News, based in Washington. | ||
ISW calls Ukraine disabling over 20 Russian missiles with EW stations a turning point | ||
Mon, 14 Apr 2025 17:42:32 -0400
The disabling of over 20 missiles with the help of "active countermeasures by means of electronic warfare" may be a turning point in Ukraine’s electronic warfare capabilities. Source: Institute for the Study of War (ISW) Details: Military analysts say Ukrainian EW assets were usually credited with disabling Russian drones but not missile systems. ISW has previously assessed that Russia's strike campaign against Ukraine and Ukrainian adaptation to counter new Russian strike systems are part of a broader tactical and technological attack-defence race between long-range aviation and air defence capabilities. Yurii Ihnat, spokesman for the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, noted that the Russian missile strike on 13 January was similar to the strike that Russian forces launched on 8 January and in previous times. The Institute for the Study of War believes that Ihnat’s words indicate that Ukrainian forces can recognise patterns in repeated Russian attacks and, accordingly, introduce innovations and adapt to them. Earlier: Over 20 Russian missiles and drones failed to reach their targets during Russia's combined air attack on Ukraine on the morning of 13 January because they exploded mid-flight, landed in unpopulated areas, or met with an effective response from Ukrainian electronic warfare. To quote the ISW’s Key Takeaways on 13 January:
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The Invisible War: Inside the electronic warfare arms race that could shape course of war in Ukraine | ||
Mon, 14 Apr 2025 17:41:54 -0400
When Ukraine received Excalibur artillery shells in March 2022 from the U.S. shortly after the start of Russia’s full-scale invasion, it was immediately the military’s weapon of choice. Thanks to their GPS navigation system, these expensive munitions had a high-precision flight trajectory and could be used in urban combat. Fast forward one year to March 2023 and the Excaliburs suddenly started missing their targets. Russian electronic jamming, which overloads a receiver with noise or false information, was blocking the artillery shells’ GPS, causing the ammunition to miss its mark. Similar issues began to occur in April 2023 almost immediately following the delivery of Joint Direct Attack Munitions (JDAM) guided aerial bombs and Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System GMLRS long-range missiles, which can be used with U.S-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS). To make matters even worse, Russian soldiers were also jamming communication with Ukrainian drones, causing both reconnaissance and strike drones to crash, land on the spot, or in the best case, return to base. In a war where both sides have relied heavily on the use of all types of drones — so much so that this war has been dubbed the “War of Drones” — Russia’s jamming capabilities have presented a major challenge on the front lines. Electronic jamming is just one example of electronic warfare (EW), an entire set of invisible weapons that use electronic means on air, sea, land, or space to obstruct and mislead enemy communications and electronically-guided weapons systems. EW systems vary in size and form, from pocket-sized devices to truck-mounted radar arrays and transceivers. They can be divided into several types, which differ in their purpose, including:
Depending on their operational range, EW can be divided into: tactical (up to 50 kilometers), operational-tactical (up to 500 kilometers), and strategic (over 500 kilometers). On the closest-range tactical level, there is also "trench EW" — radio-electronic devices that work up to 10 kilometers and are designed to cover small tactical groups from reconnaissance and FPV (first-person view) drones. Russia has traditionally invested heavily in growing its EW capabilities, with development placed into overdrive as the full-scale war against Ukraine continues. As the front lines have stabilized, its military has been able to place large numbers of its EW assets where they can have the greatest effect. In his controversial opinion piece for the Economist published in November 2023, now-former Commander-in-Chief Valerii Zaluzhnyi wrote that Russia’s superiority in the number of its EW assets was one of the main threats to the war turning positional, which is not in Ukraine’s favor. "Along the Kupiansk and Bakhmut axes, the enemy has effectively created a tiered system of electronic warfare, the elements of which constantly change their location," Zaluzhnyi wrote. Acknowledging the importance of achieving parity in EW, the Ukrainian government is also working to speed up the process to get new technologies onto the battlefield.
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